NBA predictions
Who wins tonight, by how much, and what each rotation player puts up. Win probabilities come from a neural network with a Gaussian-process head, which also says when a matchup is unlike the games it learned from; scores and stat lines come from Google's TimesFM forecasting model. Both retrain on every box score since 2012 each morning.
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Upcoming games
This season so far
Each game is scored against the last prediction published before tip-off. Games from before the page went live were predicted afterwards, using only what was known before each tip-off, and are marked.
How well it works
Walk-forward backtest: each season is predicted by a model trained only on the seasons before it.